Source-linked historical snapshots

What could the best AI actually do?

Today's comparison uses November 8, 2026. Each year resolves to the latest documented frontier state available on that same day—not a fresh daily leaderboard. Tools and specialist models appear only after their release. Rankings are editorial; the limits are the point.

Last year

The frontier stopped being just a chat window. Reasoning, tools, terminals, and multimodal generation were becoming one workflow.

Lineup last changed · Claude 4 launch

Anthropic

Claude Opus 4

The high-end terminal coding bet

Known for

Anthropic positioned it for hard, tool-using repo tasks—not for unattended product delivery.

Could

Given a well-scoped issue, a repo, and terminal tools, inspect the code, change multiple files, run tests, and return a serious candidate patch.

Couldn't

Choose the right product behavior from vague intent, notice constraints outside the repo, or earn a merge without a human reviewing the diff and the test coverage.

Launched May 22

Anthropic

Claude Sonnet 4

The practical coding counterpart

Known for

A stronger, more instruction-following sibling to Opus 4 for agent and coding workflows.

Could

Follow detailed coding instructions, use tools in parallel, and complete more of a defined engineering loop than prior Sonnet models.

Couldn't

Turn a weak specification into the right product, know hidden operational constraints, or make a production change safe without human review.

Launched May 22

Google DeepMind

Gemini 2.5 Pro

The web-app and long-context demo maker

Known for

Strong at turning a detailed prompt into an impressive interactive app or large-context analysis.

Could

Turn a detailed prompt into a polished interactive web demo, transform code, or pull relevant facts from a very large supplied context.

Couldn't

Prove the demo handled real edge cases, discover an unstated product requirement, or keep an open-ended engineering project on track by itself.

Launched March 25

OpenAI

OpenAI o3

The tool-using research reasoner

Known for

The model to combine web search, files, Python, images, and deliberate reasoning in one answer.

Could

Search, read files, write and run Python, inspect images, and synthesize the results into a careful answer or bounded technical plan.

Couldn't

Reliably absorb a team’s unwritten conventions, make product tradeoffs, or operate a repository through many handoffs without someone steering and checking it.

Launched April 16

Claude Code

Terminal-native delegation

You could hand a real repository to an agent, let it inspect files, make edits, and move a substantial task forward.

Anthropic, Feb 24

Codex CLI

Frontier reasoning in the terminal

An open-source experiment connecting local code and screenshots to reasoning models.

OpenAI, Apr 16

Gemini CLI

A generous open command line

Gemini 2.5 Pro came to the terminal in an open-source agent with broad free access.

Google, Jun 25

Voice model

Eleven v3 (alpha)

When generated speech got direction

Emotion tags, multi-speaker dialogue, 70+ languages, sighs, whispers, and more believable turns. Cinematic output, not yet the low-latency default for live conversation.

ElevenLabs, Jun 3

Image model

4o Image Generation

The prompt became a conversation

Text in images, edits, visual reference, and iterative art direction felt native to chat.

OpenAI, Mar 25

2 years ago

Computer use made agents feel tangible, but it was explicitly experimental: slow, brittle, and nowhere near an unattended employee.

Lineup last changed · Claude computer use

Anthropic

Claude 3.5 Sonnet (new)

The first computer-use preview

Known for

An upgraded Sonnet paired with experimental screen, mouse, and keyboard control.

Could

Use experimental computer control to look at a screen, click, type, and carry out a narrow browser or desktop task.

Couldn't

Operate a computer quickly or reliably enough for unattended work; Anthropic reported only 14.9% on OSWorld against a 70–75% human baseline.

Updated Oct. 22

OpenAI

OpenAI o1-preview

The visible-reasoning experiment

Known for

It spent more time on difficult math, science, and coding prompts before answering.

Could

Spend extra compute on difficult math, coding, and science prompts, often catching steps a fast chat model missed.

Couldn't

Use the broad ChatGPT tool set at launch, answer quickly, or make a vague real-world project well-specified on its own.

Launched Sept. 12

Google DeepMind

Gemini 1.5 Pro

The giant-input analyst

Known for

It could hold a long document, codebase, or video corpus in one unusually large prompt.

Could

Accept an unusually long codebase, book, or video transcript and retrieve, summarize, or compare material from inside it.

Couldn't

Turn that giant prompt into a reliable sequence of edits and validations; seeing the whole context did not make it an autonomous worker.

Google’s 1.5 era

Meta

Llama 3.1 405B

The largest openly available model

Known for

A 405B open-weight model that gave teams a credible self-hosted option for demanding text tasks.

Could

Give technically capable teams a large open-weight model for self-hosted chat, retrieval, and code assistance.

Couldn't

Remove the operational cost of serving and evaluating a huge model, or turn open weights into a reliable agent without a carefully built harness.

Launched July 23

Cursor

The AI-native editor takeoff

Ask an assistant in the editor, accept a diff, and keep your own hands on the wheel.

Cursor’s story

Devin

The autonomous engineer demo

A browser, terminal, tests, and a progress loop around the idea of a task-owning software agent.

Cognition, Mar 12

Copilot Workspace

Plan before the pull request

A path from issue to plan to code—before terminal agents became the default mental model.

GitHub, Apr 29

Voice model

Eleven Multilingual v2

Natural speech was already a product

Narration, localization, accessibility, and creator work were viable; a real-time agent stack was still taking shape. It was polished generation, not a natural live conversation system.

ElevenLabs, Aug. 22 2023

Image model

Midjourney V6

The aesthetic standard

Striking images, better prompt accuracy, coherence, remixing, and long-input handling made it the creator reference point.

Midjourney version history

3 years ago

Open weights became a serious alternative. The best systems were still prompted assistants, but teams could now adapt a capable model inside their own stack.

Lineup last changed · Llama 2 launch

OpenAI

GPT-4

The slow, expensive frontier generalist

Known for

The reference point for hard prompted reasoning, sophisticated writing, and one-off code help.

Could

Explain a hard concept, repair a small code snippet, draft a strong document, or reason through a bounded problem after a careful prompt.

Couldn't

Read your repo, execute code, inspect files, retain a task state, or verify its answer; you copied the output and did the rest.

Launched March 14

Anthropic

Claude 2

The 100K-token text assistant

Known for

A place to paste a long text, ask questions about it, and get a more useful than usual written response.

Could

Read a long pasted document, summarize it, answer questions about it, and help draft or revise a response in the same text session.

Couldn't

See a screenshot, browse current information, manipulate files, or take a coding task from an issue to a tested change.

Launched July 11

Google

PaLM 2

Google’s Bard and translation engine

Known for

General chat, multilingual writing, and code snippets across Google’s emerging AI products.

Could

Translate, draft, answer general questions, and generate small code snippets across Google’s chat and developer surfaces.

Couldn't

Reliably solve hard multi-step reasoning problems, keep track of a codebase, or compete with GPT-4 for the hardest prompted work.

Launched May 10

Meta

Llama 2 70B

The open-weight challenger

Known for

A commercially usable open-weight model that made self-hosted assistants and fine-tuning more practical.

Could

Run in a company-controlled environment for drafting, retrieval, and fine-tuned text assistants without sending prompts to a closed API.

Couldn't

Match GPT-4 at the hardest reasoning tasks, see images, or make an autonomous workflow reliable without substantial engineering around it.

Launched July 18

ChatGPT Code Interpreter

The first widely felt tool loop

ChatGPT could run Python against uploaded files to analyze data, make charts, edit files, and calculate instead of only describing what to do.

OpenAI, Jul 6

AutoGPT

The autonomous-agent provocation

It popularized the loop of task, plan, tool, result, and next step—but was fragile, expensive, and far from a reliable worker.

Project repository

LangChain agents

The first common plumbing

Developers began wiring models to search, calculators, code, and databases, usually with substantial prompt engineering and supervision.

LangChain documentation

Voice model

Eleven Multilingual v1

Voice cloning went multilingual

High-quality synthetic speech and voice cloning in eight languages opened narration, localization, and creator workflows. It was generated audio, not a natural real-time conversation partner.

ElevenLabs, Apr 27

Image model

Midjourney V5.2

The aesthetic frontier

It produced striking, stylized images from text prompts and became a creative default. Precise edits, dependable text, and repeatable art direction were still difficult.

Midjourney version history